Gaziantep weather: the models compared

Gaziantep, tomorrow (Friday): a high of 14–16 °C and a low of 7–8 °C across 4 models.

Rain over the next 7 days: ECMWF IFS 2.7 mm, ECMWF AIFS 13 mm, NOAA GFS 1.5 mm.

The models are close on the temperature on 6 of the 10 days.

Open the map in the Lab

Day by day

DayECMWF IFSECMWF AIFSNOAA GFSDWD ICON-EUModels
Today13° / 5°13° / 5°Rain 0.1 mm13° / 7°12° / 4°Some spread
Tomorrow16° / 7°16° / 8°14° / 8°15° / 7°Some spread
Saturday, Nov 1417° / 9°17° / 8°16° / 10°15° / 8°Some spread
Sunday, Nov 1519° / 9°Rain 0.5 mm19° / 10°Rain 0.2 mm19° / 11°18° / 9°Some spread
Monday, Nov 1618° / 11°18° / 10°18° / 12°17° / 8°Models disagree
Tuesday, Nov 1718° / 9°17° / 9°Rain 0.1 mm14° / 12°Rain 1.5 mm–Models disagree
Wednesday, Nov 1816° / 10°Rain 2.2 mm16° / 11°Rain 1.9 mm15° / 10°–Some spread
Thursday, Nov 1916° / 10°12° / 10°Rain 11 mm16° / 10°–Models disagree
Friday, Nov 2016° / 10°Rain 0.1 mm13° / 11°Rain 6.5 mm17° / 10°–Models disagree
Saturday, Nov 2119° / 13°Rain 0.6 mm18° / 12°Rain 5.9 mm18° / 11°–Some spread

Runs used: ECMWF IFS, Nov 11 12 UTC run · ECMWF AIFS, Nov 11 18 UTC run · NOAA GFS, Nov 11 18 UTC run · DWD ICON-EU, Nov 11 18 UTC run. Updated Nov 12, 03:21 AM.

Why several models?

Each weather centre runs its own model of the atmosphere, and no single one is always right. When the models agree, the forecast is more certain; when they disagree, the weather is harder to call, and it is worth watching the newer runs. The Lab's Forecast mode shows each model's maps, and Compare models sets them side by side for any place.

Nearby

Data: ECMWF (CC BY 4.0), NOAA (public domain), DWD (CC BY 4.0). Places: GeoNames (CC BY 4.0).