Uşak weather: the models compared

Uşak, tomorrow (Friday): a high of 14–17 °C and a low of 7–12 °C across 4 models.

Rain over the next 7 days: ECMWF IFS 2.8 mm, ECMWF AIFS 20 mm, NOAA GFS 0.1 mm.

The models are close on the temperature on 7 of the 10 days.

Open the map in the Lab

Day by day

DayECMWF IFSECMWF AIFSNOAA GFSDWD ICON-EUModels
Today14° / 7°Rain 0.4 mm16° / 10°Rain 1.8 mm14° / 8°16° / 9°Rain 0.4 mmSome spread
Tomorrow14° / 7°17° / 12°Rain 0.9 mm15° / 8°17° / 10°Models disagree
Saturday, Nov 1415° / 8°Rain 0.7 mm17° / 12°Rain 1.2 mm15° / 9°Rain 0.1 mm15° / 11°Rain 1.6 mmModels disagree
Sunday, Nov 1514° / 8°Rain 0.9 mm16° / 10°Rain 2.3 mm16° / 10°14° / 10°Rain 2 mmSome spread
Monday, Nov 1613° / 7°15° / 8°Rain 0.4 mm14° / 8°13° / 7°Some spread
Tuesday, Nov 1714° / 5°15° / 6°Rain 0.3 mm14° / 7°–Some spread
Wednesday, Nov 1814° / 7°Rain 0.5 mm17° / 10°Rain 2.9 mm15° / 8°–Some spread
Thursday, Nov 1914° / 8°Rain 0.7 mm15° / 10°Rain 12 mm16° / 8°–Some spread
Friday, Nov 2014° / 10°Rain 4.3 mm14° / 9°Rain 7.5 mm16° / 10°–Some spread
Saturday, Nov 2113° / 8°Rain 0.4 mm14° / 6°Rain 0.5 mm17° / 9°Rain 0.2 mm–Models disagree

Runs used: ECMWF IFS, Nov 11 12 UTC run · ECMWF AIFS, Nov 11 18 UTC run · NOAA GFS, Nov 11 18 UTC run · DWD ICON-EU, Nov 11 18 UTC run. Updated Nov 12, 03:21 AM.

Why several models?

Each weather centre runs its own model of the atmosphere, and no single one is always right. When the models agree, the forecast is more certain; when they disagree, the weather is harder to call, and it is worth watching the newer runs. The Lab's Forecast mode shows each model's maps, and Compare models sets them side by side for any place.

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Data: ECMWF (CC BY 4.0), NOAA (public domain), DWD (CC BY 4.0). Places: GeoNames (CC BY 4.0).