Aden weather: the models compared
Aden, tomorrow (Friday): a high of 28–29 °C and a low of 26–27 °C across 3 models.
Rain over the next 7 days: ECMWF IFS 1.0 mm, ECMWF AIFS 0.0 mm, NOAA GFS 0.1 mm.
The models are close on the temperature on 10 of the 10 days.
Day by day
| Day | ECMWF IFS | ECMWF AIFS | NOAA GFS | Models |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Today | 28° / 27°Rain 0.1 mm | 28° / 28° | 28° / 27° | Models agree |
| Tomorrow | 28° / 26° | 29° / 27° | 28° / 27° | Models agree |
| Saturday, Nov 14 | 28° / 26°Rain 0.4 mm | 29° / 28° | 28° / 27°Rain 0.1 mm | Some spread |
| Sunday, Nov 15 | 28° / 27°Rain 0.4 mm | 29° / 28° | 28° / 27° | Models agree |
| Monday, Nov 16 | 28° / 26° | 29° / 27° | 28° / 27° | Models agree |
| Tuesday, Nov 17 | 28° / 27°Rain 0.1 mm | 28° / 27° | 28° / 27° | Models agree |
| Wednesday, Nov 18 | 28° / 27°Rain 0.1 mm | 28° / 27° | 28° / 27° | Models agree |
| Thursday, Nov 19 | 27° / 27° | 28° / 27° | 28° / 27° | Models agree |
| Friday, Nov 20 | 27° / 27° | 28° / 27° | 28° / 27° | Models agree |
| Saturday, Nov 21 | 27° / 27°Rain 0.6 mm | 28° / 27° | 28° / 27° | Models agree |
Runs used: ECMWF IFS, Nov 11 12 UTC run · ECMWF AIFS, Nov 11 18 UTC run · NOAA GFS, Nov 11 18 UTC run. Updated Nov 12, 03:21 AM.
Why several models?
Each weather centre runs its own model of the atmosphere, and no single one is always right. When the models agree, the forecast is more certain; when they disagree, the weather is harder to call, and it is worth watching the newer runs. The Lab's Forecast mode shows each model's maps, and Compare models sets them side by side for any place.
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Data: ECMWF (CC BY 4.0), NOAA (public domain), DWD (CC BY 4.0). Places: GeoNames (CC BY 4.0).