Sanaa weather: the models compared

Sanaa, tomorrow (Friday): a high of 21–22 °C and a low of 8–11 °C across 3 models.

Rain over the next 7 days: ECMWF IFS 1.5 mm, ECMWF AIFS 2.1 mm, NOAA GFS 0.6 mm.

The models are close on the temperature on 5 of the 10 days.

Open the map in the Lab

Day by day

DayECMWF IFSECMWF AIFSNOAA GFSModels
Today22° / 10°20° / 12°Rain 0.1 mm22° / 14°Models disagree
Tomorrow22° / 8°21° / 10°Rain 0.2 mm21° / 11°Models disagree
Saturday, Nov 1421° / 8°20° / 11°Rain 0.5 mm20° / 11°Some spread
Sunday, Nov 1522° / 8°20° / 11°Rain 0.4 mm20° / 11°Rain 0.1 mmModels disagree
Monday, Nov 1623° / 8°Rain 0.2 mm20° / 10°Rain 0.5 mm20° / 12°Rain 0.3 mmModels disagree
Tuesday, Nov 1723° / 8°Rain 0.6 mm20° / 10°Rain 0.2 mm20° / 13°Rain 0.2 mmModels disagree
Wednesday, Nov 1823° / 9°20° / 10°Rain 0.3 mm21° / 11°Some spread
Thursday, Nov 1922° / 9°Rain 0.7 mm21° / 10°21° / 11°Some spread
Friday, Nov 2023° / 9°22° / 10°Rain 0.3 mm21° / 11°Some spread
Saturday, Nov 2122° / 9°21° / 10°21° / 11°Some spread

Runs used: ECMWF IFS, Nov 11 12 UTC run · ECMWF AIFS, Nov 11 18 UTC run · NOAA GFS, Nov 11 18 UTC run. Updated Nov 12, 03:21 AM.

Why several models?

Each weather centre runs its own model of the atmosphere, and no single one is always right. When the models agree, the forecast is more certain; when they disagree, the weather is harder to call, and it is worth watching the newer runs. The Lab's Forecast mode shows each model's maps, and Compare models sets them side by side for any place.

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Data: ECMWF (CC BY 4.0), NOAA (public domain), DWD (CC BY 4.0). Places: GeoNames (CC BY 4.0).