Yozgat weather: the models compared

Yozgat, tomorrow (Friday): a high of 14–16 °C and a low of 7–9 °C across 4 models.

Rain over the next 7 days: ECMWF IFS 10 mm, ECMWF AIFS 22 mm, NOAA GFS 0.6 mm.

The models are close on the temperature on 4 of the 10 days.

Open the map in the Lab

Day by day

DayECMWF IFSECMWF AIFSNOAA GFSDWD ICON-EUModels
Today13° / 4°13° / 4°Rain 0.7 mm13° / 5°11° / 3°Rain 0.1 mmSome spread
Tomorrow15° / 7°16° / 9°Rain 0.7 mm15° / 8°14° / 7°Rain 0.2 mmSome spread
Saturday, Nov 1415° / 8°Rain 0.2 mm15° / 10°Rain 2.8 mm15° / 8°12° / 9°Rain 2.5 mmModels disagree
Sunday, Nov 1511° / 6°Rain 3.4 mm9° / 6°Rain 3.6 mm11° / 7°Rain 0.4 mm10° / 4°Rain 12 mmSome spread
Monday, Nov 169° / 4°10° / 3°Rain 0.1 mm11° / 4°7° / 3°Models disagree
Tuesday, Nov 1711° / 3°13° / 4°Rain 0.1 mm13° / 6°Rain 0.2 mm–Some spread
Wednesday, Nov 1811° / 5°15° / 8°Rain 1.1 mm14° / 6°–Models disagree
Thursday, Nov 1914° / 7°Rain 6.7 mm11° / 7°Rain 14 mm15° / 7°–Models disagree
Friday, Nov 2014° / 9°Rain 14 mm11° / 6°Rain 5.6 mm15° / 9°–Models disagree
Saturday, Nov 2113° / 7°Rain 0.1 mm9° / 4°Rain 2.9 mm16° / 10°Rain 1.6 mm–Models disagree

Runs used: ECMWF IFS, Nov 11 12 UTC run · ECMWF AIFS, Nov 11 18 UTC run · NOAA GFS, Nov 11 18 UTC run · DWD ICON-EU, Nov 11 18 UTC run. Updated Nov 12, 03:21 AM.

Why several models?

Each weather centre runs its own model of the atmosphere, and no single one is always right. When the models agree, the forecast is more certain; when they disagree, the weather is harder to call, and it is worth watching the newer runs. The Lab's Forecast mode shows each model's maps, and Compare models sets them side by side for any place.

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Data: ECMWF (CC BY 4.0), NOAA (public domain), DWD (CC BY 4.0). Places: GeoNames (CC BY 4.0).