Çorum weather: the models compared

Çorum, tomorrow (Friday): a high of 16–17 °C and a low of 4–10 °C across 4 models.

Rain over the next 7 days: ECMWF IFS 13 mm, ECMWF AIFS 20 mm, NOAA GFS 4.3 mm.

The models are close on the temperature on 2 of the 10 days.

Open the map in the Lab

Day by day

DayECMWF IFSECMWF AIFSNOAA GFSDWD ICON-EUModels
Today15° / 1°13° / 4°Rain 0.2 mm14° / 5°Rain 0.1 mm13° / 4°Models disagree
Tomorrow17° / 4°17° / 10°Rain 0.1 mm17° / 8°16° / 8°Models disagree
Saturday, Nov 1416° / 9°Rain 1.2 mm16° / 12°Rain 1.2 mm13° / 9°Rain 0.1 mm15° / 11°Rain 0.8 mmModels disagree
Sunday, Nov 159° / 6°Rain 3.5 mm10° / 6°Rain 4.8 mm10° / 6°Rain 4.2 mm10° / 6°Rain 8.5 mmModels agree
Monday, Nov 1610° / 5°10° / 4°11° / 6°9° / 4°Some spread
Tuesday, Nov 1712° / 2°Rain 0.1 mm13° / 4°11° / 6°–Models disagree
Wednesday, Nov 1813° / 3°Rain 0.1 mm15° / 8°Rain 0.5 mm14° / 6°–Models disagree
Thursday, Nov 1916° / 5°Rain 7.6 mm12° / 7°Rain 13 mm16° / 7°–Models disagree
Friday, Nov 2016° / 9°Rain 12 mm12° / 6°Rain 3.5 mm12° / 10°Rain 0.4 mm–Models disagree
Saturday, Nov 2114° / 6°Rain 0.7 mm10° / 5°Rain 2.8 mm15° / 9°Rain 6.8 mm–Models disagree

Runs used: ECMWF IFS, Nov 11 12 UTC run · ECMWF AIFS, Nov 11 18 UTC run · NOAA GFS, Nov 11 18 UTC run · DWD ICON-EU, Nov 11 18 UTC run. Updated Nov 12, 03:21 AM.

Why several models?

Each weather centre runs its own model of the atmosphere, and no single one is always right. When the models agree, the forecast is more certain; when they disagree, the weather is harder to call, and it is worth watching the newer runs. The Lab's Forecast mode shows each model's maps, and Compare models sets them side by side for any place.

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Data: ECMWF (CC BY 4.0), NOAA (public domain), DWD (CC BY 4.0). Places: GeoNames (CC BY 4.0).